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CHINA’S 1,200 listed firms face a rocky ride for the rest
of this year as grinding competition would force more into the
red while a government crackdown kicks chronically poor
performers off the exchanges, analysts said. One in every
seven listed companies reported a loss for the first half of
this year and an unprecedented four companies said they faced
a delisting, part of a fierce regulatory campaign to clean up
the murky and poor quality stock markets. Despite China’s
economic growth officially estimated at 7.8 percent in the
first half of the year, companies blamed intense competition,
overcrowded markets and the country’s recent entry to the
World Trade Organization for their poor showings. Earnings
dropped an average 19.7 percent year on year to 0.0822 yuan
per share, and 170 companies out of 1,204 reported a loss,
official State newspapers reported. One in eight posted a loss
at the end of last year. But it was not all doom and gloom for
corporate China. A few sectors like banks and mobile phone
makers turned in upbeat performances, and a handful of firms
like Shanghai Petrochemical outshone their peers despite a
tough environment. “Earnings were all over the place and it’s
difficult to generalise,” said Norman Ho of fund manager,
Value Partners, which has US$420 million directed at Greater
China. “We are quite optimistic on basic commodities like oil
and they may enjoy price inflation in the slow overall
economy.” Four companies — Xiamen Ocean Shipping, trade firm
Fujian Jiuzhou, tractor maker Anshan No. 1 Construction
Machinery and construction material producer Shantou Hongye —
expect to be delisted after three and a half years of losses.
That would bring the number of listed companies axed in China
to an unprecedented seven this year, compared with only three
last year when China first reformed its securities regulations
to allow its pilot delisting. Analysts said they expected
intense competition to push more creaky State companies into
the red in the second half, the situation exacerbated by more
foreign rivalry following China’s WTO entry last December.
Overcrowded industries ranging from appliances to airlines to
petrochemicals are already suffering from brutal price wars.
Airline profits were hit by unauthorized discounts given on
domestic flight tickets and analysts said the rest of the year
would be volatile for domestic carriers which have few hedging
tools for currency and oil price fluctuations. Carmakers
logged strong profits for the first half as price cuts
attracted buyers, but they were expected to show weaker
margins and sales volumes in the second half as bargain lovers
hold back in hope prices will fall further. Analysts say the
reason, again, is competition. Although more Chinese can
afford to buy cars, the government is allowing more global
giants onto its turf under WTO promises. “Competition is only
increasing,” said fund manager Ho. “TV companies have already
been competing for ten years so they’re used to it. But cars
are still in a relatively protected environment.” One bright
spot is, surprisingly, the listed banks. Smaller and burdened
with fewer bad loans than the country’s unlisted big four
State banking giants, these better-managed lenders plugged
directly into robust economic growth and posted strong
first-half earnings from a growing customer base. As the
global economy remains fragile, analysts say the smart money
is on Chinese companies not as dependent on exports. That way,
a sharper or quicker than expected global economic recovery
would be the icing on the cake. “Generally our view is that
the oil producers, airlines and transport sectors are looking
quite good,” said Stewart Aldcroft, managing director of
Investec Asset Management Asia. “We’re pretty positive on
China at the moment.” Some appliance makers like Shenzhen
Konka and Sichuan Changhong managed to get back into profit in
the first half by turning to the more lucrative mobile phone
business. “Investors should focus on companies exposed to the
domestic market,” said Peter So, head of China strategy at ING
Barings in Hong Kong. “Retail sales in China are very strong.”
(SD-Agencies)
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