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CHINA’S consumer price index fell for the sixth straight
month in August as an oversupply of consumer goods persisted
in dragging down prices, analysts said.
State Statistics Bureau figure issued Friday shows
consumer price index (CPI) fell 0.7 percent year on year in
August, meeting market expectations.
Although the latest drop is less steep than the 0.9
percent year-on- year drop in July and a 0.8 percent
year-on-year fall in June, CPI has stayed in negative
territory for much of the year, illustrating the deflationary
pressure that grips China’s economy.
The continued fall in prices has prompted China’s central
bank to increase money supply as a means of boosting consumer
demand and ameliorate lingering deflation.
However, increased growth in money supply as measured by
the broad M2 measure to 14.4 percent year on year at end-July
has apparently done little to stem the deflationary trend.
“We’re a bit troubled by this result because we were
looking for moderation” in the deflationary trend, said JP
Morgan Chase Economist Ben Simpfendorfer.
“But I think deflation is not an issue of weak consumer
demand,” he said. “It’s a result of productivity gains and a
massive investment in TV and automobile production.”
“We can’t expect China to resolve deflation when at the
same time we have the rest of the world investing in its
manufacturing base.”
Simpfendorfer said one test of whether China is emerging
from deflation would come this month, when the effect of a
one-year government freeze in tuition should add a percentage
point to September’s CPI.
BNP Paribas Peregrine Chief Economist Chen Xingdong said
that deflation should have bottomed in August and he expected
slow but weak recovery from deflation throughout the rest of
the year.
Chen said that rolling back deflation required
reemployment of the hundreds of thousands of laid-off workers
from State-owned firms.
The reiteration Thursday by China’s top leadership that
the government’s policy priority is to do just that shows that
the Chinese Government is serious about addressing the
deflation problem, he said.(SD-Agencies)
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