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CHINA’S asset management companies (AMCs) are facing
liquidity risks and pose a threat to the central bank, a Bank
for International Settlements (BIS) report said Friday. The
AMCs faced combined annual interest obligations of more than
30 billion yuan (US$3.6 billion) on an estimated 1.168
trillion yuan in bonds issued to State banks and at least 192
billion yuan in loans from the central bank, the report said.
“The risk is already evident as lagging recoveries is putting
cash flow pressure on the AMCs, despite low interest rates,”
it said. China set up the companies — Huarong, Orient, Cinda
and Great Wall — in 1999 to tackle 1.4 trillion yuan in bad
loans, mainly at Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank
of China, China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of
China. “The Chinese AMCs should be expected to run up
substantial losses, which ultimately represent a part of
China’s quasi-fiscal deficits,” said the report by the BIS, a
forum and bank for the world’s central banks.. The AMCs, each
with registered capital of 10 billion yuan from the Finance
Ministry, have issued long-term bonds to State banks to
finance the debt takeover. The bonds were to be paid off by
selling off the assets the companies assumed, but finding
buyers has proved difficult, the report said. The companies
had recovered 45.5 billion yuan in cash by the end of June
after disposing of 210.4 billion yuan in bad assets, the
central bank has said. That represented a cash recovery ratio
of 21.6 percent. “It appears that asset liquidation has not
kept pace with accruing interest,” the report said. The
government has told the asset management firms to speed up
debt resolution through collection, restructuring, auction and
securitization while maintaining solid recovery rates. But a
murky structure of oversight by the central bank, Finance
Ministry and securities regulatory body has sown confusion as
to the mission of the asset management firms, the report said.
“The Chinese AMCs are supervized by multiple government
agencies and could face overlapping objectives,” it said. “The
AMCs are burdened with multiple tasks of quick asset
disposition and medium-term corporate restructuring.” One
example was that the AMCs had been ordered to convert 400
billion yuan in bad loans into shares in State firms through
debt-for-equity swaps, thus lowering the debt burden of those
State firms. The AMCs have been trying to sell bad assets to
foreign investors, but analysts say their efforts have been
marred by an opaque legal framework and China’s curbs on
capital flows. In addition, the report said the People’s Bank
of China, the central bank, could face potential risks as a
lender to the asset management companies. “The PBOC’s exposure
to the AMCs represents no small risk to the institution and
its further development as a modern central bank,” the report
said. The report estimated that bad loans in China’s State
banks, including those already taken over by asset management
companies, amounted to 3.4 trillion yuan, or 42 percent of all
loans at the end of last year. That was higher than the 30
percent average bad loan figure given by central bank governor
Dai Xianglong earlier this year. State banks piled up bad
loans due to decades of reckless lending to State firms, some
of which have gone bankrupt. (SD-Agencies)
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